(Des Moines) The Oceanic Nino Index reached 1.5 in October, and if sustained for four more months, this will reach the threshold for a “strong” El Nino event.
Allan Curtis, Meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Des Moines, says the sea surface temperatures are taken from the equatorial Pacific Ocean. So, how is that going to affect the United States?
The Climate Prediction Center diagnostics place the probability of a “strong” El Nino persisting through March 2024 at 55 percent.Curtis says this is not a specific forecast. Still, according to the latest data, weather forecasters are stacking the deck in favor of warmer and wetter-than-normal estimates for the balance of the winter months. The Climate Prediction Center diagnostics place the probability of a “strong” El Nino persisting through March 2024 at 55 percent.
Curtis says this is not a specific forecast. Still, according to the latest data, weather forecasters are stacking the deck in favor of warmer and wetter-than-normal estimates for the balance of the winter months.