(Area) As we’ve already noticed this week, the barometer is rising in the month of June.
The short term outlook, according to State Climatologist Justin Glisan will see warmer than average temperatures. “Getting us into the first half of June we are actually seeing a pretty good signal for warmer than average temperatures across much of the upper Midwest. In terms of precipitation, near normal conditions. That would be welcome news for the dry parts of the state, which is effectively most of the state.”
For temperatures to heat up and rain chances to remain present is rare. It could happen this year. “Typically around this time of year when you do see in the warm season elevated signals for warm conditions those are usually tightly coupled with dry conditions so it’s nice to see a normal signal for precipitation and not a dry signal.”
Glisan admits the current transition from a La Nina phase to ENSO-Neutral brings higher probability of wetter conditions later in the summer.